Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Japan's Line Passes 200M Global Downloads Of Its Messaging App But Still Isn't Reporting Monthly Actives




TechCrunch





Japan's Line Passes 200M Global Downloads Of Its Messaging App But Still Isn't Reporting Monthly Actives



Line downloads growth

Line continues its apparent growth tear. The mobile messaging app that’s extremely popular in its home market of Japan has announced it’s passed the 200 million global registered users mark, some two years after launching. Line passed 100 million users back in January.


It should be noted that the 200 million figure is not monthly active users but rather refers to app downloads – combined for Line’s iPhone/Android/Windows Phone/BlackBerry/Nokia Asha/feature phone apps. The company also does not break out sent/received monthly messages, which is another useful metric to judge messaging app engagement. However it has previously told TechCrunch the proportion of active to registered monthly Line users can be as high as 80%.


That active peak is likely to be in Line’s Asian stronghold markets,  like Japan, rather than the international markets it has since expanded to — including the U.S. and Europe, however.


Line competes with a raft of mobile messaging apps — including the veteran WhatsApp, which last month announced it had hit 250 million monthly active users. While relative newcomer, China’s WeChat, now has a registered user base of around 300 million — of which it reports 190 million are monthly active users. If Line continues to eschew reporting its monthly active users it’s hard to escape the conclusion it’s struggling to match the engagement levels of its biggest rivals.


Line Corporation does break out earnings from in-app purchases, such as sticker packs. In its Q1 revenue report earlier this year Line reported earnings of $58.9 million, half from in-app game purchases and just under a third from sticker sales. The majority (80%) of those revenues were, however, generated in Japan.


Line’s core sticker characters are quintessentially kawaii but it continues to attempt to localise the mascots to broaden their appeal — including making Ramadan-friendly sticker packs for Indonesian users, being promoted in the below advert.
















Aiming For First-Time Smartphone Users, Nokia Unveils The Lumia 625, A $290 4G Windows Phone



700-1-nokia_lumia_625_group

After posting another quarterly decline in sales but steadily rising unit numbers for new-generation smartphones last week, today Nokia pressed ahead with yet another smartphone launch that will fill out its line of more affordable devices. Today it launched the Lumia 625, a Windows Phone-powered, 4.7-inch-screened, 4G-capable smartphone. Nokia says it will be “accessibly priced” — estimated retail price of €220 before taxes and subsidies, in other words some €400 less than the newest high end device, the 1020.


“With our largest smartphone screen to date, the Nokia Lumia 625 is a perfect example of how Nokia is delivering leading smartphone innovation and experiences at every price point,” said Jo Harlow, executive vice president, Nokia Smart Devices, in a statement.


As with other Lumia devices, these will be colorful and plentifully distributed. Orange, yellow, bright green, white and black are the base colors for this model, with an array of changeable shells “enabling easy personalisation.” Nokia says the Lumia 625 will begin selling in China, Europe, Asia Pacific, India, Middle East, Africa and Latin America in Q3 2013.


The move comes after the company unveiled its highest-end and priciest smartphone yet earlier this month, the Lumia 1020 — with a groundbreaking 41 megapixel lens.


Nokia needs to work hard to bring up volumes in smartphones to make up for the drop off of legacy Symbian sales, which are now discontinued. In last week’s Q2 earnings, Nokia’s smartphone sales by volume were down by 27% over a year ago, while its “mobile phones” segment (its term for the rest of the portfolio, covering feature phones) was also down by 27% to 53.7 million units. In value terms, sales of smart devices were down 24% to $1.5 billion (€1.1 billion) compared to last year, while mobile devices were down 39% to $1.8 billion (€1.4 billion).


Part of that strategy includes targeting new smartphone users, who either are later adopters in developed markets, or people living in countries where smartphone adoption is still at early stages. In both cases, users are less inclined to pay the premium prices that early smartphone adopters have paid. And traditionally, Nokia has done well in both segments.


With the rise of Samsung, of course, that tide has changed, with the Korean handset maker effectively replicating Nokia’s traditional, device-for-every-price-point strategy, and surpassing the Finnish company in the process. In that regard, if Nokia is aiming to claw back some of what it has lost, and to do it at this point in the smartphone adoption cycle, producing more affordable models is essential.


This is not Nokia’s first affordable Lumia device. It’s also launched others in the 600-range, including the 610 last year, and the 620 in February of this year among them.


What’s telling is that this is the first “accessibly priced” 4G device. This is significant for a number of reasons. It points to device being intended, at least initially, for developed markets that already have 4G networks, rather than for emerging markets. This is still a very ripe market for the taking — as Asymco recently pointed out, countries like the U.S. actually are showing little sign right now of smartphone adoption slowing down — in fact at the moment it looks like adoption is some of the highest its been over the last 14 months. What may be the case, though, is that those picking up devices now are likely to pay less than those buying the first iPhones.


The lower cost of the device, meanwhile, could mean one of two things: the pricing for 4G components is starting to come down as we see more critical mass. Or, Nokia is letting itself get hit on margins for the sake of being more competitive. This is what CEO Stephen Elop said last week on margins, specifically for Lumia devices, during the earnings call:


“We have to think carefully on pricing strategies. With some devices like the 1020, we don’t sense price pressure on this in the early period, but with other devices… carriers will throw in a Galaxy phone or tablet and who knows what else is in their inventory and throw out there for £20 per month. We do sense there is price pressure that we will have to respond to.”


Take that as you like, but I wonder if this 625 will be an example of that price pressure that Elop alluded to.


Last but not least, there is a question about consumer demand. Are consumers demanding low-cost 4G handsets right now? I know that in the UK, EE, which still has a wide open, uncontested playing field for 4G/LTE services, is scrambling very hard to make sure it has a nice number of users locked into its network before others like O2 and Vodafone and Three come storming in and spoil the party with more competitive pricing. That means, carriers like EE will be pushing handset makers very hard to bring those prices down on devices. Whether low pricing is being dictated by market forces and consumer demand, or carrier pressure is not really clear here.












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